Treatise on Probability by John Maynard Keynes
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Treatise on Probability
By John Maynard Keynes

A Treatise on Probability

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Format: Paperback / softback

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Treatise on Probability by John Maynard Keynes

Book Description

There is, first of all, the distinction between that part of our belief which is rational and that part which is not. If a man believes something for a reason which is preposterous or for no reason at all, and what he believes turns out to be true for some reason not known to him, he cannot be said to believe it rationally, although he believes it and it is in fact true. On the other hand, a man may rationally believe a proposition to be probable, when it is in fact false. -from Chapter II: Probability in Relation to the Theory of Knowledge" His fame as an economist aside, John Maynard Keynes may be best remembered for saying, "In the long run, we are all dead." That phrase may well be the most succinct expression of the theory of probability every uttered. For a longer explanation of the premise that underlies much of modern mathematics and science, Keynes's A Treatise on Probability is essential reading. First published in 1920, this is the foundational work of probability theory, which helped establish the author's enormous influence on modern economic and even political theories. Exploring aspects of randomness and chance, inductive reasoning and logical statistics, this is a work that belongs in the library of any interested in numbers and their application in the real world. AUTHOR BIO: British economist JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES (1883-1946) also wrote The Economic Consequences of the Peace (1919), The End of Laissez-Faire (1926), The Means to Prosperity (1933), and General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (1936).

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Book Details

ISBN: 9789563100419
ISBN-10: 9563100417
Format: Paperback / softback
(203mm x 127mm x 27mm)
Pages: 480
Imprint: www.bnpublishing.com
Publisher: www.bnpublishing.com
Publish Date: 5-Feb-2008
Country of Publication: United States

Other Editions...


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Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes by John Maynard Keynes Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes, Paperback (November 2012)

This volume brings together Keynes's attempts to influence public opinion and policy between 1929 and 1931, including all related journalism and correspondence.

Keynes on the Wireless by John Maynard Keynes Keynes on the Wireless, Hardback (July 2010)

This book brings together John Maynard Keynes' infamous BBC wireless broadcasts, specially selected from the Royal Economic Society edition of Keynes' Collected Writings. With an introduction by Donald Moggridge, this unique anthology provides an insight into Keynes' influence and legendary contribution to economics, which still resonates today.

» View all books by John Maynard Keynes

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