Twenty-first Century India
Population, Economy, Human Development, and the Environment
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Twenty-first Century India by Robert Cassen
Book DescriptionTwenty-First Century India is the first study of India's development giving a fully integrated account of population and development. It is built on new projections of the population for fifty years from the Census of 2001. India's population then had already passed 1 billion. Twenty-five years later it will exceed 1.4 billion, and will almost certainly pass 1.5 billion by mid-century. The projections incorporate for the first time both inter-state migration and the role of HIV/AIDS. They also show India's urban future, with close to half a billion urban inhabitants by the year 2026. The implications of this population growth are then traced out in a range of modelling and analytical work. Growing numbers are found to complicate the task of achieving widespread education in a number of India's states, while other states are already experiencing declines in their school-age population. Demographic growth also contributes to poverty, and increasing divergence in social conditions among the states. As population growth slows in the country overall, the labour force continues to grow relatively fast, with difficult consequences for employment. But national economic growth could be accelerated by the 'demographic bonus' of the declining proportion of dependents to workers in the population. The book is reasonably optimistic about India's food prospects: the country can continue to feed itself. It can also enjoy higher levels of energy use, manufacturing, and modern forms of transport, while experiencing less chemical pollution. India's cities can become cleaner and healthier places to live. Perhaps the most difficult environmental issue, and the one most strongly related to population growth, is water. Some states also face severe pressures on common property resources. A policy chapter concludes the book. India's future problems are large, but in principle manageable. However, whether the country will actually achieve sustainable development for all is another matter.
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Book DetailsISBN: 9780199243358
(242mm x 163mm x 23mm)
Imprint: Oxford University Press
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Publish Date: 25-Mar-2004
Country of Publication: United Kingdom
Books By Author Robert Cassen
Twenty-First Century India, Paperback (May 2005)
Explores the links between population growth and economic development in India, with particular reference to issues of the environment and human development. On present trends India is set to become the world's largest population, and this book seeks to give a general account of India's future under this expected growth.
Does Aid Work?, Paperback (June 1994)» View all books by Robert Cassen
This is a study of the effectiveness of aid that the North provides to help the economic development of the South. The author aims to range over the whole area of Western aid, and present the facts of what has and what has not been achieved. This text, and its data, have been fully revised.
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