1300 36 33 32

The vulnerability of our civilization to earthquakes is rapidly growing, rais- ing earthquakes to the ranks of major threats faced by humankind. Earth- quake prediction is necessary to reduce that threat by undertaking disaster- preparedness measures. This is one of the critically urgent problems whose solution requires fundamental research. At the same time, prediction is a ma- jor tool of basic science, a source of heuristic constraints and the final test of theories. This volume summarizes the state-of-the-art in earthquake prediction. Its following aspects are considered: - Existing prediction algorithms and the quality of predictions they pro- vide. - Application of such predictions for damage reduction, given their current accuracy, so far limited. - Fundamental understanding of the lithosphere gained in earthquake prediction research. - Emerging possibilities for major improvements of earthquake prediction methods. - Potential implications for predicting other disasters, besides earthquakes. Methodologies. At the heart of the research described here is the inte- gration of three methodologies: phenomenological analysis of observations; "universal" models of complex systems such as those considered in statistical physics and nonlinear dynamics; and Earth-specific models of tectonic fault networks. In addition, the theory of optimal control is used to link earthquake prediction with earthquake preparedness.

Buy Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction book by V. I. Keilis-Borok from Australia's Online Bookstore, Boomerang Books.

Book Details

ISBN: 9783540435280
ISBN-10: 354043528X
Format: Hardback
(234mm x 156mm x 20mm)
Pages: 350
Imprint: Springer-Verlag Berlin and Heidelberg GmbH & Co. K
Publisher: Springer-Verlag Berlin and Heidelberg GmbH & Co. KG
Publish Date: 10-Dec-2002
Country of Publication: Germany


» Have you read this book? We'd like to know what you think about it - write a review about Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction book by V. I. Keilis-Borok and you'll earn 50c in Boomerang Bucks loyalty dollars (you must be a member - it's free to sign up!)

Write Review